Russia has offered the US "deals" worth $12 trillion in exchange for lifting sanctions

Be patient in the face of the storm

Amid the conflict, reports indicated that Russia offered massive economic incentives – worth up to $12 trillion – to the United States in exchange for the lifting of Western sanctions. First revealed by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy based on intelligence reports, the so-called " Dmitriev package " received confirmation from Russian officials while raising doubts among analysts about its feasibility and true value.

This proposal, named after Kirill Dmitriev – CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) and a key Kremlin envoy – emerged alongside the Ukrainian peace talks.

It promises large-scale bilateral cooperation across multiple sectors, potentially coupled with broader geopolitical concessions. As global markets consider its implications, this development highlights the interplay between economics, sanctions, and negotiations between major powers in 2026.

The agreement may be mentioned.

Details remain vague, but reports from Bloomberg and other sources have highlighted key elements that Russia is seeking or offering:

• Restoring the dollar-based payment system and reintegrating into the global financial system (which is extremely important after SWIFT was excluded and assets were frozen).

• Joint investment in energy (projects in the Arctic), nuclear power, aviation, and infrastructure.

• Broader economic partnerships can include access to resources , technology transfer , or joint development in strategic sectors.

The $12 trillion figure could represent the total value of potential deals over years or decades —rather than immediate cash transfers—including energy exports, access to goods, and large-scale infrastructure projects. Russian sources have raised the offer to $14 trillion for potential projects.

Skepticism and factual verification

Critics argue that the figure cited in the headline is inflated or merely an expectation. An analysis by Euromaidan Press estimates that, even in the most optimistic scenario after sanctions are lifted, annual revenue from such collaborations could reach only around $340 billion – significantly lower than the $12 trillion figure. Key challenges include:

• Geopolitical risks: Western companies remain cautious about investing in Russia amid ongoing conflict, legal uncertainties, and potential future sanctions.

• The structure of sanctions: Lifting the measures requires coordination between the US, the EU, and their allies; Europe has been reluctant, fearing that it would reward aggression.

• The fundamental economic factors: Russia's GDP ( approximately $2 trillion in nominal terms ) limits the scale of actual bilateral capital flows without massive foreign investment inflows.

The Economist magazine questions the narrative of huge profits, noting historical precedents showing that grand promises (e.g., post-Cold War integration) have failed to materialize due to a lack of trust and structural barriers.

Our review

Reports suggesting Russia has offered potential deals worth $12 trillion in exchange for the lifting of sanctions underscore the immense economic importance inherent in geopolitical conflicts. Whether feasible or merely ambitious, this figure demonstrates just how tightly interconnected the global energy, financial, and industrial systems remain.

This event underscores the prominent theme of 2026: economics as a tool of geopolitics. Whether the $12 trillion proposal is truly a turning point or merely a staged ploy, it highlights the risky interplay reshaping global finance and security. Caution—and skepticism—remains essential.

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Compiled and analyzed by HCCVenture

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